Best April Fool’s Joke of 2009

Harvard Economist Blames Twitter for Down Economy

A new study suggests that Twitter is the root cause of the current economic malaise. Policy experts predict a Twitter moratorium may be declared for Summer 2009 as part of an effort to stimulate economic production and reverse GDP declines.

Twitter Ramps Up As Dow Tanks

Is there a lesson in all of this?

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Analyst 2.0: A Call For Transparency

If you spend much time poking around the Web for the straight skinny on social media, you’d be hard-pressed to miss Jeremiah Owyang. Owyang is a senior analyst at Forrester Research, a fairly well-regarded analyst firm that covers business and technology, including social media.

On Monday, while attending SXSW in Austin, Owyang tweeted this about mZinga, a social media software vendor: “I’m getting more information (nearly 4 reference today) that Mzinga is having financial difficulties. They need to brief me immediately.”

My initial reaction was mixed and dispassionate. On one hand, part of Owyang’s job is to disclose information – the good, the bad and the fugly – to the clients who rely on him to help them make buying decisions. On the other hand, it seemed as Owyang was tweeting a bit out of turn, based on incomplete, dubious information.

But he didn’t stop with that tweet, adding in a subsequent tweet a link to this blog entry where he said, “I strongly recommend that any Mzinga clients or prospects stall any additional movement till they brief me next Monday.”

Owyang’s blog is extremely popular – if the chest thumping on it is true, Technobabble has ranked it the #1 analyst blog, while it comes in at #31 on AdAge’s Power 150. Owyang has more than 33K people following him on Twitter. The numbers suggest that the overwhelming majority of people paying attention to what he says are, in fact, not clients. My hackles were raised.

Add to this the fact that Forrester is on the take from mZinga, who, like many other social media software companies covered in Owyang’s WAVE report, pay Forrester for consulting services*. Apparently mZinga didn’t schedule a briefing with Owyang quickly enough to dissuade him from telling tens of thousands of people not to buy their products until further notice.

I’m foaming at the mouth.

The shady world of software analysis has avoided the public ire for long enough. Taking money from clients looking to buy AND vendors looking to sell, and claiming ANY amount of objectivity is, flatly, a ruse. We can thank Owyang’s stunning lack of judgment for exposing a little more of the emperor, but dude’s been naked all along. (I remember waiting with a gut full of nerves the arrival of Gartner’s latest “Magic Quadrant” covering the mobile industry. I can assure you it was always many things, but never magical.)

In the Web 2.0 world, can’t software analysts be rendered obsolete? How about a community where the masses describe and rate vendors, and where those ratings are rated based on how helpful/true/bogus they are?

At the very least, analysts should pick who they want to shill for, and disclose it thoroughly. Forrester can start exhibiting the same transparency they extol by naming every single vendor who pays them and appears on their WAVE report.

*We help business and marketing executives at technology providers with:

– Market and competitive assessments.
– Go-to-market strategy.
– Custom market research.
– Product development.
– Message tuning.
– Case study development.
– ROI proof.

From the Forrester site.

A fresh observation on the power of social media

Olney Snow Feb 2 2009 Church & street pikniked
Image by joolney via Flickr

Ten weeks of a hyperlocal social network

Olney100, the site we are running for the town of Olney in north Buckinghamshire continues to power ahead.  We are shooting up the Alexa Rankings.  At 32 000 for the UK, we’ve outstripped the local gov.uk sites and are rapidly closing on the local football (soccer) team.

I am carefully watching equivalent sites around England and we seem to be in the front pack.  That said, we are still small enough to pour over Google Analytics in some detail and a little example helped me frame the value of social media quite simply.  It went like this.

A simple case study of  the value of social media to small businesses

Somebody was searching for “welsh rarebit outside catering”.   If you aren’t from the UK, you may need to know that a welsh rarebit is like a toasted cheese sandwich without the top piece of bread.

This highly specific search led the surfer from the third page of Google results to of our local deli’s.    The phrase “welsh rarebit” was no longer visible, but being a young site, I’m able to recall that a welsh rarebit was mentioned in a conversation about British Breakfast week that took place over a month ago.

This example illustrates the immense value of social media which I summed up this way.

Tell me, I know for a minute and no one else knows.

Tell me on social media and Google remembers forever.  Months later someone else will overhear your conversation with me and knock on your website to find out more.

ROI of social media for small businesses

Social media can add hugely to the effective advertising of a small business.   As far as I know, no one is tracking these effects.

  1. Small businesses are extremely busy and they will never have time to update a flat website at the speed they can use social networks.  With Ning, Facebook, blogs and Twitter, they are able to post several times a day in a casual style.  Posting is easy and what appears on top is fresh, current & relevant.   Metric: frequency of updating.
  2. The trace left on Google provides a third internet presence: flat, network and trace.  Metric: total presence on the internet.
  3. The range of topics they cover with the quick fast posting in social media embraces their often very diverse offerings in what scholars might call rich descriptions.  Metric: diversity of content.
  4. They use natural language which is also likely to be used by ordinary customers when they search with Google.  We might use commonly searched words as tags.  But we have no way of knowing how much traffic is lost overall to the less searched phrases.  Over time, the small business can expect substantial traffic from conversations they had with other customers that was store, quite incidently, by Google.  Money for jam, in other words.   Metric:  traffic from the trace rather than SEO.

I cn’t imagine how much conventional advertising it would have taken to generate this lead.

Of course, the next level is to make it easy for surfers landing on their social network page to contact them and to show that the conversion rate is higher than it would be with  a flat website.

A simple 3 step rubric to help users network better

As many people in Olney are not very familiar with social networking and still see the internet as an extension of “Disgruntled from Tunbridge Wells”, this little win prompted me to circulate this three point rubric.

Use your real name! Customers cannot find ye who hide!

Have real conversations with real people!  Months later people will ‘overhear’ your conversation on Google and come looking for you to find out more.

Wear your heart on your sleeve! Say what you want to be known for.

And my next post will be on something that is a problem for hyperlocal sites – the debris on the internet.

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Novel Integration: Twitter-powered comments

You’re seeing it more and more: on blogs and new sites and even search results: twitter is being integrated, either via hashtags or simple a particular user’s tweets.

@dsandler has a bright idea: why not institute something for a particular blog post as a commenting tool. People have tried using digg or reddit but this execution holds the promise of something truly different. It works something like this:

You come up with some sort of naming convention (in his example he simply used the tinyurl for the post, as most people would be including that anyway)

Then, at the bottom of each post, you include search results for all tweets which include that tinyurl.

When you consider that you can include that link in a URL like so and twitter search results are easy to integrate, making such an idea a reality is not hard.

I think it’s all well and good that you can put your blog on your facebook and twitter from google reader and whatever else, but I think this kind of idea is what makes the web such an interesting place to be.

Experimental: Twitter for comments

As always,  share this story, check out my website, follow me on twitter, leave comments below, and fight on.

11 observations about our new community site in Olney

Olney, United Kingdom is a delightful little town in north Buckinghamshire in the United Kingdom.  We are close enough to London for the local delicatessen, Much Ado,  to raid Covent Garden and Billingsgate for us every Wednesday night and we are far enough away to be a town of truly unique shops.  We have a Co-op, and our Tesco opened today – yep on 4 March 2009!  We don’t have a Boots.   We have a few big names in the form of banks, two real estate agents and a shop providing clothes for riding horses.  Otherwise, we are  town of independent shops providing high fashion, contemporary art, designer crafts, intriguing books, hand made furniture, antiques, carpets, interior designers,  fresh food and gifts and an extraordinary number of artists, photographers, composers , writers and charities.  Supporting this Bond Street in the Shires are the usual supporting cast of childcare, pet shops, hardware stores, garages, toy shops, plumbers, gardening centres, gyms, accountants, PR specialists, printers, graphic designers, webdesignerspubs, restaurants, opticians, churchs, etc.  I realise writing this list that I need to be able to automate this!  I’ll do better next time!

I like living here so I launched a community site on Ning, which you probably know is a versatile platform that permits Google Analytics.  As ever, hands-on experience is a great teacher.  Launching a community site even in a fairly prosperous self-contained town like Olney is hard-work.

  1. Two rival sites developed immediately, one on Ning and one was defunct forum that has been revived. Shall I link to them?  Yes, in the spirit of 2.0, I think I shall.  Two rival sites are proof of concept, I think?
  2. I used the name Olney100 which gave us the number 1  search spot – for a month.  Then oddly we have vanished.  I don’t really undertand this.
  3. Our main source of traffic is still direct and when visitors arrive looking for us, they explore deeply and spend 10 to 30 minutes looking around.  I know the effect of a regular weekly blog by Much Ado on my expenditure.  There mouth watering descriptions of delicacies from Covent Garden have snaffled my fresh food budget and I am a kilo lighter as a result!
  4. The Sign Up seems to lose us traffic and I have set up a guest account.  Should you come visiting use olney100 at gmail dot com with a password of olney100.  I am going to adjust the front page to let anyone in.
  5. We got 4 times normal traffic during our Pancake Race which is a minor international event.  Community events are important and helping the community find and run events is as important as SEO.
  6. Inevitably our bounce rates increased during the Pancake Race.  They are otherwise very low at 20% to 30%.
  7. The site has encouraged a few people to use Twitter and blogs but not in the numbers we might expect.
  8. I also help people out with IT hassles and I’m pleased to say that with the help of James at BT, I reduced the internet bill of one of the members by 400 pounds a year!  Half an hour well spent.
  9. One restaurant sensibly delegated all their social media to one of their staff, Helen Hines,  who is a natural connector. She blogs for the “Courtyard” weekly and has launched a page on Facebook.  Until a month ago, I didn’t know that we had an Olney group on Facebook.  I wondered if Facebook is competition for Olney100 but I also thought that the goal of Olney100 is to support social connections and prosperity.   Providing smooth interfaces with the world is what we are about!
  10. Quite quickly I stumbled over old animosities in the town.  That’s a good sign because it means I’m under the skin of things but I’ll have to report back on how they are resolved in the social media space.
  11. I’ve talked to a couple of large firms about advertising on the site to finance it.  Younger staff members were curious but unable to read the site at work!  They had to do that at home.  So far the feedback that I have been getting is that the town is not big enough to advertise in.  This seems peculiar to me – if a market is big enough to trade in, it is big enough to advertise in.  I think, and watch this space, they mean that old marketing techniques are too expensive to use at local level and I suspect they don’t have models to do cost-benefit analyses of community based websites.  Any ideas on this?

That’s all for now.  I’d love your comments and suggestions and do pop over and have a look.  We are Olney at Olney100!  Guest log in using olney100 at gmail dot com with password olney100.